Week 17 NFL loss scenarios: How this week’s results could change the playoff picture.

With just two weeks left in the NFL season, both the AFC and NFC will have a good chance to give fans a full heart or heartbreak.

The AFC is one spot away from a clear three-team race, though the Steelers have a two-percent chance of making it. The NFC has a five-team race for two spots, and the Giants have a more than 85 percent chance of a bid if they need just one win in their final two games. And the team most likely to clinch the final AFC wild card spot, the Miami Dolphins, lost Tua Tagovailoa to concussion protocol, leaving his status for this weekend and the rest of the season unclear.

Heading into Week 17, five teams have clinched playoff spots in the AFC and four in the NFC. The scenarios for the other playoff hopefuls are endless, and with both untied and three divisions still up for grabs, there are only so many wild-card spots on the line this week. Only the Tennessee Titans have nothing to play for this week, as their fate hinges on their result in Jacksonville in Week 18.

Buffalo earns AFC No. 1 seed against the Bengals in Week 17 and a loss to the Chiefs.

Buffalo’s Week 17 opponent, the Bengals, will clinch the AFC North with a win Monday night and a loss or tie against the Ravens. Steelers or with Buffalo and Ravens losing.

The Dolphins clinched the playoff berth with the Patriots and Jets losing or tying the Patriots, the Jets losing and the Steelers tying or losing.

The Eagles won the NFC East with it. The Saints or Cowboys lose or tie against the Titans. They also secure the NFC’s top seed and home-field advantage in the playoffs by winning or losing to the Cowboys and 49ers, or tying and losing to the Vikings.

The Buccaneers beat the Panthers on Sunday to win the NFC South.

The Giants will clinch a playoff spot if they win the remaining two games. And even if they don’t win this week, if the combination of the Seahawks, Commanders, Lions and Packers lose, the Giants will go in.

Let’s see how the playoff picture changes with each result this week:

Cowboys at Titans, 8:15 pm ET Thursday

What if the Cowboys win and the Eagles lose?

group 1-RACE ODDS Change

6.2 percent

+ 4.6 percent

What if the Titans lose?

group Game chance Change

22.8 percent

+0.0 percent

What if the Titans win?

group Game chance Change

23.0 percent

+0.2 percent

group 1-RACE ODDS Change

0.0 percent

-1.6 percent

Saints at Eagles, 1 pm ET Sunday

What if the Saints win?

group Game chance Change

9.3 percent

+ 6.5 percent

group 1-RACE ODDS Change

75.0 percent

-17.4 percent

What if the Eagles win?

group 1-RACE ODDS Change

100.0 percent

+ 7.6 percent

group Game chance Change

0.0 percent

-2.8 percent

Jaguars at Texas, 1 p.m. ET Sunday

What if the Jaguars win?

group Game chance Change

78.7 percent

+0.5 percent

What if the Texans win?

group Game chance Change

76.1 percent

-2.1 percent

Broncos at Chiefs, 1 p.m. ET Sunday

What if the Broncos win?

group 1-RACE ODDS Change

2.5 percent

-32.7 percent

What if the bosses win?

group 1-RACE ODDS Change

41.8 percent

+ 6.6 percent

What if the Chiefs win and the Bills lose?

group 1-RACE ODDS Change

75.6 percent

+ 40.4 percent

17.2 percent

+ 9.2 percent

7.2 percent

-49.6 percent

Bears at Lions, 1 p.m. ET Sunday

What if the Lions win?

group Game chance Change

40.6 percent

+ 7.6 percent

What if the Bears win?

group Game chance Change

4.6 percent

-28.4 percent

Dolphins at Patriots, 1 p.m. ET Sunday

What if the Dolphins win?

group Game chance Change

84.4 percent

+ 16.8 percent

0.0 percent

-10.4 percent

What if the Patriots win?

group Game chance Change

20.7 percent

+ 10.4 percent

42.0 percent

-25.6 percent

Panthers at Buccaneers, 1 pm ET Sunday

What if the Bucks win?

group Game chance Change

100.0 percent

+ 19.2 percent

0.0 percent

-17.6 percent

What if the Panthers win?

group Game chance Change

50.1 percent

+ 32.5 percent

44.7 percent

-36.1 percent

Browns at Commanders, 1 p.m. ET Sunday

What if the Browns win?

group Game chance Change

8.5 percent

-20.8 percent

What if the commanders win?

group Game chance Change

50.4 percent

+ 21.1 percent

Colts at Giants, 1 pm ET Sunday

What if the Colts win?

group Game chance Change

79.9 percent

-6.2 percent

What if the Giants win?

group Game chance Change

100.0 percent

+ 13.9 percent

Jets at Seahawks, 4:05 pm ET Sunday

What if the Jets win?

group Game chance Change

44.7 percent

+ 25.8 percent

7.7 percent

-15.0 percent

What if the Seahawks win?

group Game chance Change

53.6 percent

+ 30.9 percent

0.0 percent

-18.9 percent

49ers at Raiders, 4:05 pm ET Sunday

What if the 49ers win?

group 1-RACE ODDS Change

5.2 percent

+ 2.1 percent

What if the 49ers win and the Eagles lose?

group 1-RACE ODDS Change

16.3 percent

+ 13.2 percent

What if the robbers win?

group 1-RACE ODDS Change

0.0 percent

-3.1 percent

Vikings at Packers, 4:25 pm ET Sunday

What if the Vikings win?

group 1-RACE ODDS Change

6.5 percent

+ 3.3 percent

group Game chance Change

2.9 percent

-25.4 percent

What if the Packers win?

group Game chance Change

39.5 percent

+ 11.2 percent

group 1-RACE ODDS Change

0.0 percent

-3.2 percent

What if the Vikings win and the Eagles lose?

group 1-RACE ODDS Change

20.2 percent

+ 17.0 percent

Steelers at Ravens, 8:20 pm ET Sunday

What if the Steelers win?

group Game chance Change

5.1 percent

+ 3.1 percent

group Class opportunities Change

80.9 percent

+ 7.5 percent

19.1 percent

-7.5 percent

What if the Ravens win?

group Class opportunities Change

67.2 percent

-6.2 percent

32.8 percent

+ 6.2 percent

group Game chance Change

0.0 percent

-2.0 percent

Bills at Bengals, 8:15 pm ET Monday

What if the bills win?

group 1-RACE ODDS Change

86.7 percent

+ 30.5 percent

13.3 percent

-22.6 percent

0.0 percent

-8.0 percent

What if the Bills win and the Chiefs lose?

group 1-RACE ODDS Change

100.0 percent

+ 46.8 percent

What if the Bengals win?

group 1-RACE ODDS Change

64.4 percent

+ 28.5 percent

25.5 percent

+ 17.5 percent

10.1 percent

-46.1 percent

What if the Chiefs win and the Bills lose?

group 1-RACE ODDS Change

75.6 percent

+ 40.4 percent

17.2 percent

+ 9.2 percent

7.2 percent

-49.6 percent

(Photo by Amon-Ra St. Brown and Josh Reynolds of Detroit: Leon Halip/Getty Images)

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