Our best bet for Raptors vs. Kings

NBA playoff week features teams competing by all accounts in a two-game national TV doubleheader on Wednesday night: Nets vs. 76ers (7:30 p.m. ET) and Grizzlies vs. Warriors (10 p.m. ET).

Our analysts are going the other way for the best bets. Target bets from two to three of the 10 games on the schedule and place bets on those matches such as Player Proposition, First Half Total and Spread.

Read on for their expert picks and predictions for Wednesday night.

NBA odds and picks

Indiana Pacers vs. Orlando Magic

Choose
Magic -5.5
book
BetMGM
Give useful advice
7 pm in Ethiopia
TV
NBA League Pass

Chris Baker: I’ve been rooting for this place since Monday, and their win over the Celtics only reinforced my belief even more. I’ve been high on this Magic team all season and they’re finally back to full health after Jonathan Isaac returned on Monday.

Isaac on both ends of the floor in no. 1 team in the NBA: 10 points on 4-of-7 shooting with two steals. Isaac also increases the number of unicorns the magicians have in their frontal abilities.

Between Franz Wagner, Paolo Banchero, Bol Bol, Isaac, Mo Bamba and Wendell Carter Jr. This Orlando team is loaded with talented bigs. This is a big deal for the Packers, who are sorely lacking in size and defense in their frontcourt. Outside of Myles Turner, the Packers don’t play anything big in their starting rotation.

As a result, the Pacers rank 29th in defensive rebounding rate and 27th in opposing rebounding rate. They do not protect the color well, which is important in magic. They could ask Aaron Nesmith and Chris Durte to guard 6-foot-10 players like Wagner and Banchero. That would be a perfect mismatch and I expect the Magic to score at will tonight.

Plus, this is just a scary place for the Pacers — on the road for the second night since an emotional comeback win over the Chicago Bulls on Tuesday.

Without Tyrese Haliburton, I wouldn’t have this team rated so highly. Since Halliburton went down in January. 11, the Pacers are 1-6 SU and 3-4 ATS and rank 29th in offense over that stretch. The only positive metric for them is offensive rebounding rate (second only to that stretch). I expect the newfound offensive boards’ ability to match up against a physical Magic team ranked 12th in defensive rebounding.

I like this position in terms of conditions and matchup and am comfortably playing this down to -6.


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Toronto Raptors vs. Sacramento Kings

Choose
Domantas Sabonis u31.5 PTS + REB
book
DraftKings
Give useful advice
10 pm in Ethiopia
TV
NBA League Pass

Joe Dellera: The Kings take on the Raptors today and this is a spoiled spot for Domantas Sabinis. He has been incredible this season and is finally getting the recognition he deserves around the league. I love his props tonight against Seacum and the Raptors.

Sabinis and Siakam are similar in the way they play, both can score, rebound and facilitate. However, Sabinis has dominated this matchup over the past few seasons. He also recorded five consecutive double-doubles and a triple-double.

Sabonis’ Points + Rebounds prop is set at 31.5 and could be 32.5 depending on your book. He cleared that number in three of his five against Sicam, but more importantly, he eclipsed that number with a 21-point, 20-rebound, seven-assist performance in December of this season. 14.

I prefer the points + rebounds line as opposed to the points + rebounds + assists line at this position because I think his assists in this matchup aren’t as valuable with Toronto’s length and his ability to defend other scorers against the Kings. I think Sabinis will be the primary offensive option tonight.

History on the Raptors Sabinis has missed this streak of 31.5 in three games. But he had a 31.5 ERA in 18 of his last 19 games. I’ll get him back on track tonight against the Raptors and take this up to a 32.5 PR.


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Toronto Raptors vs. Sacramento Kings

Choose
First half over 122.5
book
FanDuel

Munaf Manji: The Raptors and Kings meet tonight in Sacramento and I expect a lot of points in the first half.

First, the Raptors are 7-1 in the first half in their last eight games, according to BetLabs. The Kings are 8-1 in the first half in their last nine games.

Additionally, over the past five games, the Raptors and Kings have ranked first and second in offensive rating. At the same time, the Kings averaged 127 points in the first half of their games and the Kings allowed 63 points per game in the first half.

The Raptors are no strangers to high-scoring games this season. In fact, the Raptors are 10-4 in non-conference games this season and 13-8 on the road this season (at home). I expect the offense to be firing on all cylinders tonight. I like this number to 123.5.


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